Nearing Critical Numbers of Delegates Before Super Tuesday

Although there are still months to go in the U.S. presidential primary season, most of the doubts regarding the final result will probably be answered within the next week as voters in 15 states—including the two largest—cast their votes on March 5 and another four just seven days later. With no candidate substantially challenging President Joe Biden’s effort to secure the Democratic nominee for a second term, Biden looks well-positioned to maintain his sweeping of the primary.

 

With the exception of Sunday’s Republican primary in Washington, D.C., former President Donald Trump has won every contest thus far in the Republican primary. Nikki Haley, the former governor of South Carolina, is still on the ballot, but Trump seems certain to win most, if not all, of the states that vote on “Super Tuesday,” including delegates-rich Texas and California. When four more states vote a week later on March 12, if Trump does as predicted on March 5, he will have more delegates than need to secure the GOP candidacy.

 

The 2024 presidential primaries, according to Caitlin E. Jewitt, an associate professor of political science at Virginia Tech, have been incredibly uncompetitive, she told VOA. Although incumbent presidents are rarely faced with significant primary challenges, Trump seems to be benefiting from similar advantages due to his status as the most recent president of the Republican Party and his continued control over its base. It has never happened before that an incumbent president is effectively challenging a quasi-incumbent, according to Jewitt. “Normally, at least one side has a competitive nomination, if not both, and for that reason, this primary season is less intriguing in many aspects. Compared to previous years, candidates are truly anticipating the general election.

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