Important lessons from Super Tuesday’s outcomes

He had an outstanding showing, winning in several states around the nation. “There’s a reason it’s called Super Tuesday,” Mr. Trump informed his Florida fans. “This is a big one.” The magnitude of some of the victories was astounding: 61% in Texas, 70% in Alabama, and around 70% of the vote in California. Even if he must wait until next week to mathematically wrap up the Republican nomination, the former president will leave with a nearly overwhelming advantage in convention delegates. Exit polls help explain why the former president’s victory was so significant.

 

Immigration is the most significant issue to 43% of Republican primary voters in North Carolina. Mr. Trump has prioritized immigration since launching his first presidential campaign in 2015. Regarding border security, 64% of Virginians indicated they trusted Mr. Trump more than Nikki Haley. Additionally, those Virginia primary voters stated that they preferred a candidate who embodies their ideals and stands up for others who are similar to them—qualities that lean toward Trump—over electability and temperament. Ms. Haley made a strong case for electability to voters. It seemed to collapse.

 

Even with the huge victory, some Republican primary supporters appeared to be sticking with Mr. Trump. Ms. Haley kept performing strongly in counties in Virginia and North Carolina with high proportions of young, suburban, and college-educated voters; exit polls revealed some of their worries. With four criminal cases against him, 40% of Virginia Republican primary voters and 32% of North Carolina Republican primary voters stated that Mr. Trump would not be qualified to serve as president if found guilty of a crime. Merely 21% of Haley supporters in North Carolina declared that they would support the Republican nominee “no matter who it is”.

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